Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Anhui Ankai Automobile Co., Ltd (000868.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.02 - $0.02$0.02
Multi-Stage$0.03 - $0.04$0.03
Blended Fair Value$0.03
Current Price$5.48
Upside-99.52%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-51.17%-20.53%0.000.030.050.060.090.110.110.090.090.04
YoY Growth---87.81%-52.11%-11.31%-34.95%-17.57%1.71%14.48%1.94%153.50%20.28%
Dividend Yield--0.04%0.54%0.91%1.24%2.23%2.60%3.07%1.42%1.37%0.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.020.640.38
Cash Retained (M)2.512.512.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.02-0.64-0.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.491.872.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)939.51939.51939.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.000.000.01
WACC / Discount Rate9.40%9.40%9.40%
Growth Rate-14.67%-13.67%-12.67%
Fair Value$0.02$0.02$0.02
Upside / Downside-99.72%-99.68%-99.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5.094.403.803.282.832.442.52
Payout Ratio50.75%58.60%66.45%74.30%82.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.582.582.522.432.322.202.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.40%9.40%9.40%
Growth Rate-14.67%-13.67%-12.67%
Year 1 PV (M)2.332.362.38
Year 2 PV (M)2.062.112.16
Year 3 PV (M)1.801.861.92
Year 4 PV (M)1.551.621.70
Year 5 PV (M)1.321.401.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)21.8823.1924.56
Equity Value (M)30.9332.5434.21
Shares Outstanding (M)939.51939.51939.51
Fair Value$0.03$0.03$0.04
Upside / Downside-99.40%-99.37%-99.34%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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