Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shunfa Hengye Corporation (000631.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.07 - $0.09$0.08
Multi-Stage$0.13 - $0.14$0.13
Blended Fair Value$0.11
Current Price$3.21
Upside-96.67%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-17.85%-6.23%0.110.270.000.020.050.280.400.170.100.19
YoY Growth---61.24%6,902.90%-76.71%-63.33%-83.85%-30.14%130.90%67.55%-46.25%-3.32%
Dividend Yield--3.74%9.29%0.11%0.46%1.48%9.69%10.55%4.27%2.10%5.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)95.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)59.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.0611.917.15
Cash Retained (M)59.0659.0659.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.06-11.91-7.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)40.0047.1551.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,227.472,227.472,227.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.020.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.020.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.030.040.04
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate-26.05%-25.05%-24.05%
Fair Value$0.07$0.08$0.09
Upside / Downside-97.81%-97.51%-97.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)95.3071.4253.5340.1230.0722.5323.21
Payout Ratio38.02%48.42%58.81%69.21%79.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36.2334.5831.4827.7623.9320.2821.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate-26.05%-25.05%-24.05%
Year 1 PV (M)31.0231.4431.86
Year 2 PV (M)25.3326.0226.72
Year 3 PV (M)20.0420.8721.71
Year 4 PV (M)15.5016.3617.25
Year 5 PV (M)11.7812.6013.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)178.56190.96204.05
Equity Value (M)282.24298.26315.06
Shares Outstanding (M)2,227.472,227.472,227.47
Fair Value$0.13$0.13$0.14
Upside / Downside-96.05%-95.83%-95.59%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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