DDM Analysis: URB-A.CN

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$375.55 - $459.29	$430.43
Multi-Stage	$77.50 - $84.95	$81.15
Blended Fair Value	$255.79
Current Price	$7.30
Upside	3,403.97%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	7.25%	5.17%	0.12	0.11	0.10	0.10	0.10	0.08	0.12	0.13	0.06	0.07
YoY Growth	-	-	9.09%	5.89%	8.07%	0.52%	13.10%	-30.00%	-3.62%	94.34%	-7.23%	-4.09%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.07%	2.34%	2.85%	2.42%	3.15%	4.50%	5.27%	4.08%	2.07%	3.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	95.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	5.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)	90.22

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	19.12	11.95	7.17
Cash Retained (M)	90.22	90.22	90.22
(-) Cash Required (M)	-19.12	-11.95	-7.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)	71.10	78.27	83.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	41.40	41.40	41.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.72	1.89	2.01
LTM Dividend per Share	0.13	0.13	0.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.72	1.89	2.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.85	2.02	2.14
WACC / Discount Rate	6.02%	6.02%	6.02%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$375.55	$430.43	$459.29
Upside / Downside	5,044.54%	5,796.25%	6,191.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	95.60	101.81	108.43	115.48	122.99	130.98	134.91
Payout Ratio	5.63%	22.50%	39.38%	56.25%	73.13%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	5.38	22.91	42.70	64.96	89.94	117.88	124.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.02%	6.02%	6.02%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	21.41	21.61	21.81
Year 2 PV (M)	37.28	37.99	38.70
Year 3 PV (M)	52.99	54.51	56.06
Year 4 PV (M)	68.55	71.19	73.90
Year 5 PV (M)	83.95	88.01	92.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,943.86	3,086.04	3,233.68
Equity Value (M)	3,208.04	3,359.35	3,516.37
Shares Outstanding (M)	41.40	41.40	41.40
Fair Value	$77.50	$81.15	$84.95
Upside / Downside	961.62%	1,011.69%	1,063.65%

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Urbana Corporation (URB-A.CN)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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