DDM Analysis: SVRL.BO

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$62.34 - $96.39	$78.14
Multi-Stage	$137.58 - $151.70	$144.50
Blended Fair Value	$111.32
Current Price	$135.00
Upside	-17.54%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	1.00	0.69	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	44.45%	38.45%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.53%	0.63%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	148.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	15.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)	133.10

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	29.68	18.55	11.13
Cash Retained (M)	133.10	133.10	133.10
(-) Cash Required (M)	-29.68	-18.55	-11.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	103.42	114.55	121.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	22.11	22.11	22.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share	4.68	5.18	5.52
LTM Dividend per Share	0.69	0.69	0.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share	4.68	5.18	5.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.37	5.87	6.21
WACC / Discount Rate	6.44%	6.44%	6.44%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$62.34	$78.14	$96.39
Upside / Downside	-53.82%	-42.12%	-28.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	148.42	146.93	145.46	144.01	142.57	141.14	145.38
Payout Ratio	10.32%	26.25%	42.19%	58.13%	74.06%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	15.31	38.58	61.37	83.71	105.59	127.03	134.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.44%	6.44%	6.44%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	35.88	36.24	36.61
Year 2 PV (M)	53.08	54.17	55.27
Year 3 PV (M)	67.33	69.41	71.54
Year 4 PV (M)	78.99	82.26	85.63
Year 5 PV (M)	88.37	92.97	97.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,718.39	2,859.95	3,007.34
Equity Value (M)	3,042.03	3,195.00	3,354.15
Shares Outstanding (M)	22.11	22.11	22.11
Fair Value	$137.58	$144.50	$151.70
Upside / Downside	1.91%	7.04%	12.37%

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Shri Venkatesh Refineries Limi (SVRL.BO)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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