DDM Analysis: SJWD.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$50.01 - $119.80	$112.27
Multi-Stage	$17.87 - $19.54	$18.69
Blended Fair Value	$65.48
Current Price	$9.50
Upside	589.25%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	16.15%	3.43%	0.25	0.44	0.14	0.12	0.14	0.12	0.14	0.05	0.01	0.15
YoY Growth	-	-	-43.09%	212.00%	13.64%	-12.00%	19.05%	-16.00%	212.50%	249.71%	-91.16%	-18.33%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.62%	2.80%	0.70%	0.68%	1.64%	2.27%	1.69%	0.48%	0.13%	1.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,091.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	684.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)	406.50

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	218.24	136.40	81.84
Cash Retained (M)	406.50	406.50	406.50
(-) Cash Required (M)	-218.24	-136.40	-81.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)	188.26	270.10	324.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,811.46	1,811.46	1,811.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.15	0.18
LTM Dividend per Share	0.38	0.38	0.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.15	0.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.48	0.53	0.56
WACC / Discount Rate	6.52%	6.52%	6.52%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$50.01	$112.27	$119.80
Upside / Downside	426.41%	1,081.79%	1,161.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,091.20	1,162.13	1,237.66	1,318.11	1,403.79	1,495.04	1,539.89
Payout Ratio	62.75%	68.20%	73.65%	79.10%	84.55%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	684.70	792.54	911.52	1,042.61	1,186.90	1,345.53	1,424.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.52%	6.52%	6.52%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	737.07	744.06	751.04
Year 2 PV (M)	788.38	803.40	818.56
Year 3 PV (M)	838.65	862.72	887.25
Year 4 PV (M)	887.88	922.03	957.15
Year 5 PV (M)	936.10	981.31	1,028.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)	28,179.14	29,540.20	30,953.35
Equity Value (M)	32,367.21	33,853.71	35,395.60
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,811.46	1,811.46	1,811.46
Fair Value	$17.87	$18.69	$19.54
Upside / Downside	88.08%	96.72%	105.68%

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SCGJWD Logistics Public Company Limited (SJWD.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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