Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Schulz S.A. (SHUL3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$159.84 - $188.31$176.48
Multi-Stage$134.59 - $147.70$141.02
Blended Fair Value$158.75
Current Price$4.76
Upside3,235.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-74.62%-50.36%0.000.080.170.020.020.030.030.010.010.02
YoY Growth---99.95%-55.78%621.59%36.51%-49.45%36.49%115.37%12.65%-38.44%-57.61%
Dividend Yield--0.00%1.15%3.88%0.52%0.46%1.89%1.35%0.84%1.09%2.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)261.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)116.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)144.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)52.2032.6319.58
Cash Retained (M)144.71144.71144.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-52.20-32.63-19.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)92.51112.09125.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)275.65275.65275.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.340.410.45
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.340.410.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.760.830.88
WACC / Discount Rate-1.97%-1.97%-1.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$159.84$176.48$188.31
Upside / Downside3,257.91%3,607.53%3,856.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)261.01277.98296.05315.29335.79357.61368.34
Payout Ratio44.56%53.65%62.73%71.82%80.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)116.30149.13185.73226.45271.69321.85340.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.97%-1.97%-1.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)150.70152.12153.55
Year 2 PV (M)189.66193.27196.92
Year 3 PV (M)233.68240.39247.22
Year 4 PV (M)283.31294.21305.42
Year 5 PV (M)339.15355.53372.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)35,903.1737,637.3139,437.82
Equity Value (M)37,099.6738,872.8340,713.47
Shares Outstanding (M)275.65275.65275.65
Fair Value$134.59$141.02$147.70
Upside / Downside2,727.50%2,862.64%3,002.92%

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