Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Kedoya Adyaraya Tbk (RSGK.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$300.28 - $449.50$371.09
Multi-Stage$578.24 - $636.21$606.66
Blended Fair Value$488.87
Current Price$980.00
Upside-50.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%11.0096.0086.000.000.000.005.380.000.000.00
YoY Growth---88.54%11.63%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.12%8.35%7.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)33,621.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,226.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)23,394.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,724.264,202.662,521.60
Cash Retained (M)23,394.8923,394.8923,394.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,724.26-4,202.66-2,521.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)16,670.6319,192.2320,873.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)929.68929.68929.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share17.9320.6422.45
LTM Dividend per Share11.0011.0011.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share17.9320.6422.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend28.9331.6433.45
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$300.28$371.09$449.50
Upside / Downside-69.36%-62.13%-54.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)33,621.3233,285.1032,952.2532,622.7332,296.5031,973.5432,932.74
Payout Ratio30.42%42.33%54.25%66.17%78.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,226.4314,090.6517,876.5621,585.3525,218.1728,776.1830,462.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)12,982.1713,114.6413,247.11
Year 2 PV (M)15,174.5815,485.8415,800.27
Year 3 PV (M)16,881.3817,403.4517,936.17
Year 4 PV (M)18,171.0018,924.1019,700.38
Year 5 PV (M)19,103.5820,098.3521,134.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)455,261.24478,967.74503,651.69
Equity Value (M)537,573.94563,994.13591,469.75
Shares Outstanding (M)929.68929.68929.68
Fair Value$578.24$606.66$636.21
Upside / Downside-41.00%-38.10%-35.08%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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