DDM Analysis: ORI-R.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1.52 - $2.17	$1.84
Multi-Stage	$6.02 - $6.67	$6.34
Blended Fair Value	$4.09
Current Price	$1.63
Upside	150.77%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-10.66%	25.03%	0.32	0.73	0.57	0.61	0.29	0.56	0.39	0.05	0.08	0.10
YoY Growth	-	-	-56.03%	28.07%	-6.51%	110.34%	-48.59%	43.93%	666.68%	-35.08%	-22.97%	197.11%
Dividend Yield	-	-	15.73%	10.35%	4.91%	5.35%	3.43%	15.93%	5.68%	0.41%	1.31%	2.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	566.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	51.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)	515.43

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	113.39	70.87	42.52
Cash Retained (M)	515.43	515.43	515.43
(-) Cash Required (M)	-113.39	-70.87	-42.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)	402.04	444.56	472.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,454.24	2,454.24	2,454.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.16	0.18	0.19
LTM Dividend per Share	0.02	0.02	0.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.16	0.18	0.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.18	0.20	0.21
WACC / Discount Rate	5.22%	5.22%	5.22%
Growth Rate	-6.21%	-5.21%	-4.21%
Fair Value	$1.52	$1.84	$2.17
Upside / Downside	-6.98%	12.68%	33.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	566.97	537.43	509.44	482.90	457.74	433.90	446.91
Payout Ratio	9.09%	25.27%	41.45%	57.64%	73.82%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	51.54	135.82	211.18	278.32	337.90	390.51	413.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.22%	5.22%	5.22%
Growth Rate	-6.21%	-5.21%	-4.21%
Year 1 PV (M)	127.72	129.08	130.44
Year 2 PV (M)	186.73	190.74	194.78
Year 3 PV (M)	231.42	238.90	246.54
Year 4 PV (M)	264.19	275.64	287.46
Year 5 PV (M)	287.11	302.75	319.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)	13,673.86	14,418.53	15,195.29
Equity Value (M)	14,771.04	15,555.64	16,373.57
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,454.24	2,454.24	2,454.24
Fair Value	$6.02	$6.34	$6.67
Upside / Downside	269.24%	288.85%	309.30%

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Origin Property Public Company Limited (ORI-R.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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