DDM Analysis: OLGERD.IC

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$6.59 - $10.13	$8.24
Multi-Stage	$14.76 - $16.23	$15.48
Blended Fair Value	$11.86
Current Price	$18.20
Upside	-34.84%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.45	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.35%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,259.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,418.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)	840.78

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	451.93	282.45	169.47
Cash Retained (M)	840.78	840.78	840.78
(-) Cash Required (M)	-451.93	-282.45	-169.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)	388.85	558.32	671.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,124.66	3,124.66	3,124.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.12	0.18	0.21
LTM Dividend per Share	0.45	0.45	0.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.12	0.18	0.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.58	0.63	0.67
WACC / Discount Rate	6.61%	6.61%	6.61%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$6.59	$8.24	$10.13
Upside / Downside	-63.80%	-54.74%	-44.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,259.64	2,237.04	2,214.67	2,192.52	2,170.60	2,148.89	2,213.36
Payout Ratio	62.79%	68.23%	73.67%	79.12%	84.56%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,418.86	1,526.40	1,631.65	1,734.65	1,835.42	1,934.00	2,047.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.61%	6.61%	6.61%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,417.36	1,431.83	1,446.29
Year 2 PV (M)	1,406.87	1,435.73	1,464.88
Year 3 PV (M)	1,388.83	1,431.78	1,475.61
Year 4 PV (M)	1,364.54	1,421.09	1,479.38
Year 5 PV (M)	1,335.12	1,404.64	1,477.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)	39,203.57	41,244.99	43,370.58
Equity Value (M)	46,116.29	48,370.06	50,713.77
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,124.66	3,124.66	3,124.66
Fair Value	$14.76	$15.48	$16.23
Upside / Downside	-18.91%	-14.94%	-10.82%

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Ölgerðin Egill Skallagrímsson hf. (OLGERD.IC)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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