DDM Analysis: INTP.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$5,167.47 - $7,824.07	$6,418.09
Multi-Stage	$12,694.25 - $13,986.85	$13,327.74
Blended Fair Value	$9,872.91
Current Price	$6,525.00
Upside	51.31%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-31.36%	-21.13%	92.15	163.96	519.80	552.47	794.40	604.71	769.64	1,021.42	456.30	1,484.30
YoY Growth	-	-	-43.80%	-68.46%	-5.91%	-30.45%	31.37%	-21.43%	-24.65%	123.85%	-69.26%	50.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.77%	1.84%	4.94%	5.13%	6.50%	4.84%	3.47%	6.38%	2.75%	7.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,015,120.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	867,318.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,147,802.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	403,024.00	251,890.00	151,134.00
Cash Retained (M)	1,147,802.00	1,147,802.00	1,147,802.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-403,024.00	-251,890.00	-151,134.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)	744,778.00	895,912.00	996,668.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,347.06	3,347.06	3,347.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share	222.52	267.67	297.77
LTM Dividend per Share	259.13	259.13	259.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share	222.52	267.67	297.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend	481.65	526.80	556.90
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	-2.75%	-1.75%	-0.75%
Fair Value	$5,167.47	$6,418.09	$7,824.07
Upside / Downside	-20.80%	-1.64%	19.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,015,120.00	1,979,883.15	1,945,262.46	1,911,247.15	1,877,826.65	1,844,990.54	1,900,340.26
Payout Ratio	43.04%	52.43%	61.82%	71.22%	80.61%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	867,318.00	1,038,100.47	1,202,645.06	1,361,117.70	1,513,680.43	1,660,491.49	1,757,814.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	-2.75%	-1.75%	-0.75%
Year 1 PV (M)	966,492.00	976,430.08	986,368.16
Year 2 PV (M)	1,042,449.97	1,063,998.45	1,085,767.37
Year 3 PV (M)	1,098,429.80	1,132,663.66	1,167,601.52
Year 4 PV (M)	1,137,286.01	1,184,789.63	1,233,766.08
Year 5 PV (M)	1,161,531.60	1,222,490.41	1,285,982.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)	37,082,198.11	39,028,324.03	41,055,313.93
Equity Value (M)	42,488,387.50	44,608,696.27	46,814,799.20
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,347.06	3,347.06	3,347.06
Fair Value	$12,694.25	$13,327.74	$13,986.85
Upside / Downside	94.55%	104.26%	114.36%

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PT Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa Tbk (INTP.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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