DDM Analysis: GPRA.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3,354.37 - $5,487.68	$5,142.76
Multi-Stage	$879.08 - $963.06	$920.29
Blended Fair Value	$3,031.52
Current Price	$130.00
Upside	2,231.94%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	37.97%	9.60%	5.00	1.00	1.00	0.00	0.00	1.00	1.00	3.00	5.00	2.50
YoY Growth	-	-	400.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	-66.64%	-40.05%	100.00%	25.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.17%	1.12%	1.05%	0.00%	0.00%	2.00%	1.01%	2.91%	3.36%	1.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	118,008.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	21,383.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)	96,625.02

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	23,601.66	14,751.04	8,850.62
Cash Retained (M)	96,625.02	96,625.02	96,625.02
(-) Cash Required (M)	-23,601.66	-14,751.04	-8,850.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)	73,023.36	81,873.98	87,774.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4,276.66	4,276.66	4,276.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share	17.07	19.14	20.52
LTM Dividend per Share	5.00	5.00	5.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	17.07	19.14	20.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend	22.07	24.14	25.52
WACC / Discount Rate	6.19%	6.19%	6.19%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$3,354.37	$5,142.76	$5,487.68
Upside / Downside	2,480.29%	3,855.97%	4,121.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	118,008.29	125,678.83	133,847.96	142,548.07	151,813.70	161,681.59	166,532.04
Payout Ratio	18.12%	32.50%	46.87%	61.25%	75.62%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	21,383.28	40,840.74	62,737.33	87,307.93	114,807.64	145,513.43	154,042.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.19%	6.19%	6.19%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	38,097.40	38,458.51	38,819.62
Year 2 PV (M)	54,592.06	55,631.88	56,681.52
Year 3 PV (M)	70,869.40	72,903.81	74,976.78
Year 4 PV (M)	86,931.58	90,274.72	93,713.38
Year 5 PV (M)	102,780.70	107,745.05	112,899.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,406,230.62	3,570,752.83	3,741,571.70
Equity Value (M)	3,759,501.76	3,935,766.80	4,118,662.38
Shares Outstanding (M)	4,276.66	4,276.66	4,276.66
Fair Value	$879.08	$920.29	$963.06
Upside / Downside	576.21%	607.92%	640.81%

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PT Perdana Gapuraprima Tbk (GPRA.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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