DDM Analysis: GMKN.ME

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.86 - $1.13	$1.00
Multi-Stage	$1.64 - $1.81	$1.73
Blended Fair Value	$1.36
Current Price	$1.42
Upside	-3.91%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-18.70%	-7.65%	0.10	0.00	0.41	0.14	0.27	0.27	0.22	0.19	0.08	0.19
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-100.00%	181.89%	-47.23%	-0.02%	23.66%	13.40%	141.15%	-56.91%	-12.86%
Dividend Yield	-	-	9.22%	0.00%	19.58%	4.73%	8.54%	8.85%	11.79%	10.34%	4.88%	14.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,569.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,498.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,071.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	713.80	446.13	267.68
Cash Retained (M)	2,071.00	2,071.00	2,071.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-713.80	-446.13	-267.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,357.20	1,624.88	1,803.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	15,286.34	15,286.34	15,286.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.09	0.11	0.12
LTM Dividend per Share	0.10	0.10	0.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.09	0.11	0.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.19	0.20	0.22
WACC / Discount Rate	9.97%	9.97%	9.97%
Growth Rate	-9.65%	-8.65%	-7.65%
Fair Value	$0.86	$1.00	$1.13
Upside / Downside	-39.45%	-29.44%	-20.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,569.00	3,260.20	2,978.11	2,720.43	2,485.05	2,270.03	2,338.13
Payout Ratio	41.97%	51.58%	61.18%	70.79%	80.39%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,498.00	1,681.54	1,822.11	1,925.77	1,997.84	2,043.03	2,162.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.97%	9.97%	9.97%
Growth Rate	-9.65%	-8.65%	-7.65%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,512.31	1,529.05	1,545.79
Year 2 PV (M)	1,473.80	1,506.61	1,539.78
Year 3 PV (M)	1,400.88	1,447.91	1,495.99
Year 4 PV (M)	1,307.04	1,365.88	1,426.68
Year 5 PV (M)	1,202.09	1,270.10	1,341.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)	18,248.82	19,281.34	20,360.09
Equity Value (M)	25,144.94	26,400.89	27,709.48
Shares Outstanding (M)	15,286.34	15,286.34	15,286.34
Fair Value	$1.64	$1.73	$1.81
Upside / Downside	15.84%	21.63%	27.65%

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PJSC Mining and Metallurgical Company Norilsk Nickel (GMKN.ME)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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