DDM Analysis: GEST.MC

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$13.52 - $57.63	$33.42
Multi-Stage	$8.24 - $9.02	$8.62
Blended Fair Value	$21.02
Current Price	$3.29
Upside	538.85%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	8.63%	11.88%	0.22	0.17	0.09	0.01	0.07	0.15	0.15	0.13	0.10	0.09
YoY Growth	-	-	30.54%	83.15%	1,113.79%	-88.80%	-53.46%	-3.21%	19.09%	30.26%	11.85%	20.92%
Dividend Yield	-	-	8.65%	5.86%	2.25%	0.24%	1.59%	6.38%	2.87%	1.94%	1.84%	1.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	166.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	84.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)	81.75

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	33.23	20.77	12.46
Cash Retained (M)	81.75	81.75	81.75
(-) Cash Required (M)	-33.23	-20.77	-12.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)	48.52	60.98	69.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	569.35	569.35	569.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.09	0.11	0.12
LTM Dividend per Share	0.15	0.15	0.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.09	0.11	0.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.23	0.26	0.27
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	4.73%	5.73%	6.73%
Fair Value	$13.52	$33.42	$57.63
Upside / Downside	311.08%	915.69%	1,651.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	166.16	175.68	185.75	196.40	207.66	219.56	226.15
Payout Ratio	50.80%	58.64%	66.48%	74.32%	82.16%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	84.41	103.02	123.49	145.97	170.61	197.60	209.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	4.73%	5.73%	6.73%
Year 1 PV (M)	95.78	96.70	97.61
Year 2 PV (M)	106.75	108.79	110.86
Year 3 PV (M)	117.31	120.70	124.16
Year 4 PV (M)	127.48	132.42	137.50
Year 5 PV (M)	137.28	143.96	150.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,105.62	4,305.40	4,512.89
Equity Value (M)	4,690.22	4,907.98	5,133.93
Shares Outstanding (M)	569.35	569.35	569.35
Fair Value	$8.24	$8.62	$9.02
Upside / Downside	150.39%	162.02%	174.08%

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Gestamp Automoción, S.A. (GEST.MC)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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