DDM Analysis: CVSG.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$13.48 - $37.18	$20.86
Multi-Stage	$9.16 - $10.01	$9.58
Blended Fair Value	$15.22
Current Price	$12.50
Upside	21.76%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	7.89%	14.28%	0.08	0.08	0.07	0.06	0.00	0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.03
YoY Growth	-	-	5.56%	8.00%	8.70%	0.00%	-100.00%	11.43%	20.69%	38.10%	16.67%	20.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.64%	0.71%	0.35%	0.39%	0.00%	0.53%	0.66%	0.36%	0.23%	0.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	40.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	11.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)	28.90

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	8.00	5.00	3.00
Cash Retained (M)	28.90	28.90	28.90
(-) Cash Required (M)	-8.00	-5.00	-3.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)	20.90	23.90	25.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	71.72	71.72	71.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.29	0.33	0.36
LTM Dividend per Share	0.15	0.15	0.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.29	0.33	0.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.45	0.49	0.52
WACC / Discount Rate	8.99%	8.99%	8.99%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$13.48	$20.86	$37.18
Upside / Downside	7.85%	66.88%	197.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	40.00	42.60	45.37	48.32	51.46	54.80	56.45
Payout Ratio	27.75%	40.20%	52.65%	65.10%	77.55%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	11.10	17.13	23.89	31.46	39.91	49.32	52.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.99%	8.99%	8.99%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	15.56	15.71	15.86
Year 2 PV (M)	19.73	20.11	20.49
Year 3 PV (M)	23.62	24.29	24.99
Year 4 PV (M)	27.23	28.28	29.36
Year 5 PV (M)	30.59	32.07	33.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)	540.51	566.61	593.72
Equity Value (M)	657.24	687.08	718.01
Shares Outstanding (M)	71.72	71.72	71.72
Fair Value	$9.16	$9.58	$10.01
Upside / Downside	-26.69%	-23.36%	-19.91%

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CVS Group plc (CVSG.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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