DDM Analysis: CPIN.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2,745.89 - $4,588.68	$3,556.66
Multi-Stage	$5,540.07 - $6,091.91	$5,810.64
Blended Fair Value	$4,683.65
Current Price	$4,700.00
Upside	-0.35%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-23.96%	-4.18%	30.00	100.00	108.00	112.00	81.00	118.00	56.00	56.00	29.00	18.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-70.00%	-7.41%	-3.57%	38.27%	-31.36%	110.71%	0.00%	93.10%	61.11%	-60.87%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.68%	1.92%	2.16%	1.98%	1.16%	2.39%	0.88%	1.62%	0.91%	0.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,845,236.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,770,984.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,074,252.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	769,047.20	480,654.50	288,392.70
Cash Retained (M)	2,074,252.00	2,074,252.00	2,074,252.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-769,047.20	-480,654.50	-288,392.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,305,204.80	1,593,597.50	1,785,859.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	16,398.00	16,398.00	16,398.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	79.60	97.18	108.91
LTM Dividend per Share	108.00	108.00	108.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	79.60	97.18	108.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend	187.60	205.18	216.91
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	-0.49%	0.51%	1.51%
Fair Value	$2,745.89	$3,556.66	$4,588.68
Upside / Downside	-41.58%	-24.33%	-2.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,845,236.00	3,864,871.36	3,884,606.99	3,904,443.40	3,924,381.09	3,944,420.60	4,062,753.22
Payout Ratio	46.06%	54.85%	63.63%	72.42%	81.21%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,770,984.00	2,119,698.75	2,471,928.67	2,827,700.59	3,187,041.49	3,549,978.54	3,758,046.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	-0.49%	0.51%	1.51%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,974,064.58	1,993,902.30	2,013,740.02
Year 2 PV (M)	2,143,928.81	2,187,234.75	2,230,973.71
Year 3 PV (M)	2,283,994.54	2,353,545.60	2,424,494.48
Year 4 PV (M)	2,397,378.29	2,495,207.36	2,596,000.39
Year 5 PV (M)	2,486,919.86	2,614,414.15	2,747,084.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)	79,559,840.31	83,638,550.43	87,882,850.46
Equity Value (M)	90,846,126.38	95,282,854.59	99,895,143.59
Shares Outstanding (M)	16,398.00	16,398.00	16,398.00
Fair Value	$5,540.07	$5,810.64	$6,091.91
Upside / Downside	17.87%	23.63%	29.62%

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PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk (CPIN.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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