DDM Analysis: BCPT.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$14.60 - $21.35	$17.86
Multi-Stage	$24.55 - $27.03	$25.76
Blended Fair Value	$21.81
Current Price	$0.81
Upside	2,602.59%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015	2014
DPS	-6.37%	-2.71%	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.03	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07
YoY Growth	-	-	1.84%	1.32%	46.82%	-52.50%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	3.51%	2.03%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.80%	5.45%	4.54%	4.05%	5.89%	5.46%	5.02%	5.02%	5.10%	4.85%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,354.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	69.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,285.03

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	271.00	169.37	101.62
Cash Retained (M)	1,285.03	1,285.03	1,285.03
(-) Cash Required (M)	-271.00	-169.37	-101.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,014.03	1,115.65	1,183.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	702.31	702.31	702.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.44	1.59	1.69
LTM Dividend per Share	0.10	0.10	0.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.44	1.59	1.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.54	1.69	1.78
WACC / Discount Rate	8.36%	8.36%	8.36%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$14.60	$17.86	$21.35
Upside / Downside	1,709.27%	2,112.67%	2,545.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,354.99	1,341.44	1,328.02	1,314.74	1,301.59	1,288.58	1,327.23
Payout Ratio	5.16%	22.13%	39.10%	56.07%	73.03%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	69.96	296.87	519.23	737.11	950.59	1,159.72	1,227.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.36%	8.36%	8.36%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	271.20	273.96	276.73
Year 2 PV (M)	433.32	442.20	451.18
Year 3 PV (M)	561.96	579.34	597.07
Year 4 PV (M)	662.04	689.48	717.76
Year 5 PV (M)	737.86	776.28	816.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)	14,573.95	15,332.85	16,123.04
Equity Value (M)	17,240.32	18,094.11	18,982.07
Shares Outstanding (M)	702.31	702.31	702.31
Fair Value	$24.55	$25.76	$27.03
Upside / Downside	2,941.87%	3,092.51%	3,249.18%

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Balanced Commercial Property Trust Ltd (BCPT.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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