DDM Analysis: ALVDM.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$424.87 - $968.54	$618.54
Multi-Stage	$305.08 - $333.80	$319.18
Blended Fair Value	$468.86
Current Price	$170.00
Upside	175.80%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	2.96	0.00	0.00	0.00	2.11	1.69	1.01	0.92	0.76
YoY Growth	-	-	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	25.38%	66.76%	9.31%	22.14%	-0.06%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	2.29%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	1.76%	1.45%	1.03%	1.37%	2.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	91.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	91.41

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	18.28	11.43	6.86
Cash Retained (M)	91.41	91.41	91.41
(-) Cash Required (M)	-18.28	-11.43	-6.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)	73.13	79.99	84.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4.38	4.38	4.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share	16.71	18.27	19.32
LTM Dividend per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	16.71	18.27	19.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend	16.71	18.27	19.32
WACC / Discount Rate	9.41%	9.41%	9.41%
Growth Rate	5.27%	6.27%	7.27%
Fair Value	$424.87	$618.54	$968.54
Upside / Downside	149.92%	263.85%	469.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	91.42	97.14	103.23	109.70	116.58	123.89	127.60
Payout Ratio	0.00%	18.00%	36.00%	54.00%	72.00%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.00	17.49	37.17	59.24	83.94	111.50	118.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.41%	9.41%	9.41%
Growth Rate	5.27%	6.27%	7.27%
Year 1 PV (M)	15.83	15.98	16.13
Year 2 PV (M)	30.47	31.05	31.64
Year 3 PV (M)	43.97	45.24	46.53
Year 4 PV (M)	56.41	58.58	60.82
Year 5 PV (M)	67.84	71.13	74.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,120.90	1,175.17	1,231.51
Equity Value (M)	1,335.43	1,397.15	1,461.16
Shares Outstanding (M)	4.38	4.38	4.38
Fair Value	$305.08	$319.18	$333.80
Upside / Downside	79.46%	87.75%	96.36%

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Voyageurs du Monde S.A. (ALVDM.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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