DDM Analysis: ABMM.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.60 - $1.44	$0.89
Multi-Stage	$0.42 - $0.46	$0.44
Blended Fair Value	$0.66
Current Price	$0.19
Upside	253.54%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	48.57%	45.80%	0.02	0.04	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-48.51%	46.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-63.48%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	9.89%	14.35%	11.54%	0.00%	1.71%	2.87%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	75.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	25.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	50.87

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	15.17	9.48	5.69
Cash Retained (M)	50.87	50.87	50.87
(-) Cash Required (M)	-15.17	-9.48	-5.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)	35.70	41.39	45.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,753.48	2,753.48	2,753.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.01	0.02	0.02
LTM Dividend per Share	0.01	0.01	0.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.01	0.02	0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.02	0.02	0.03
WACC / Discount Rate	9.40%	9.40%	9.40%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$0.60	$0.89	$1.44
Upside / Downside	217.34%	371.15%	667.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	75.87	80.80	86.05	91.65	97.60	103.95	107.07
Payout Ratio	32.95%	44.36%	55.77%	67.18%	78.59%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	25.00	35.84	47.99	61.57	76.71	93.55	99.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.40%	9.40%	9.40%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	32.46	32.76	33.07
Year 2 PV (M)	39.35	40.10	40.86
Year 3 PV (M)	45.71	47.02	48.36
Year 4 PV (M)	51.57	53.55	55.59
Year 5 PV (M)	56.95	59.70	62.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)	941.79	987.28	1,034.51
Equity Value (M)	1,167.82	1,220.41	1,274.94
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,753.48	2,753.48	2,753.48
Fair Value	$0.42	$0.44	$0.46
Upside / Downside	125.77%	135.93%	146.47%

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PT ABM Investama Tbk (ABMM.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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