DDM Analysis: 7003.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,015.69 - $1,355.31	$1,191.28
Multi-Stage	$1,898.75 - $2,099.17	$1,996.89
Blended Fair Value	$1,594.08
Current Price	$4,475.00
Upside	-64.38%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	313.10%	-3.12%	11.92	7.82	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.03	23.94	31.91	15.98
YoY Growth	-	-	52.47%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-66.67%	-99.88%	-24.97%	99.75%	-2.42%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.42%	0.53%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	1.65%	1.99%	1.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	24,321.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,002.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	22,319.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	4,864.20	3,040.13	1,824.08
Cash Retained (M)	22,319.00	22,319.00	22,319.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-4,864.20	-3,040.13	-1,824.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)	17,454.80	19,278.88	20,494.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	100.90	100.90	100.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share	172.98	191.06	203.11
LTM Dividend per Share	19.84	19.84	19.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share	172.98	191.06	203.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend	192.82	210.90	222.95
WACC / Discount Rate	9.34%	9.34%	9.34%
Growth Rate	-8.10%	-7.10%	-6.10%
Fair Value	$1,015.69	$1,191.28	$1,355.31
Upside / Downside	-77.30%	-73.38%	-69.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	24,321.00	22,593.73	20,989.13	19,498.49	18,113.72	16,827.29	17,332.11
Payout Ratio	8.23%	24.59%	40.94%	57.29%	73.65%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,002.00	5,554.73	8,592.73	11,171.20	13,340.09	15,144.56	16,032.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.34%	9.34%	9.34%
Growth Rate	-8.10%	-7.10%	-6.10%
Year 1 PV (M)	5,025.34	5,080.02	5,134.71
Year 2 PV (M)	7,032.93	7,186.83	7,342.38
Year 3 PV (M)	8,271.95	8,544.94	8,823.86
Year 4 PV (M)	8,936.54	9,331.91	9,740.26
Year 5 PV (M)	9,178.47	9,688.84	10,221.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)	153,146.94	161,662.70	170,553.14
Equity Value (M)	191,592.17	201,495.24	211,816.02
Shares Outstanding (M)	100.90	100.90	100.90
Fair Value	$1,898.75	$1,996.89	$2,099.17
Upside / Downside	-57.57%	-55.38%	-53.09%

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Mitsui E&S Holdings Co., Ltd. (7003.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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