DDM Analysis: 6371.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$17,636.35 - $43,202.12	$40,486.71
Multi-Stage	$6,292.30 - $6,886.82	$6,584.10
Blended Fair Value	$23,535.41
Current Price	$2,149.00
Upside	995.18%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	8.99%	11.13%	68.87	47.01	47.46	34.67	32.84	44.78	46.65	44.81	38.73	35.05
YoY Growth	-	-	46.51%	-0.96%	36.89%	5.59%	-26.67%	-4.02%	4.12%	15.68%	10.52%	46.13%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.83%	2.23%	3.88%	3.43%	3.11%	5.14%	3.86%	3.06%	2.40%	3.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	22,030.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	8,219.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	13,811.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	4,406.00	2,753.75	1,652.25
Cash Retained (M)	13,811.00	13,811.00	13,811.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-4,406.00	-2,753.75	-1,652.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)	9,405.00	11,057.25	12,158.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	101.41	101.41	101.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share	92.74	109.03	119.89
LTM Dividend per Share	81.05	81.05	81.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	92.74	109.03	119.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend	173.79	190.08	200.94
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$17,636.35	$40,486.71	$43,202.12
Upside / Downside	720.68%	1,783.98%	1,910.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	22,030.00	23,461.95	24,986.98	26,611.13	28,340.85	30,183.01	31,088.50
Payout Ratio	37.31%	47.85%	58.38%	68.92%	79.46%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	8,219.00	11,225.74	14,588.63	18,341.27	22,520.11	27,164.71	28,756.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	10,437.75	10,536.68	10,635.62
Year 2 PV (M)	12,612.41	12,852.64	13,095.14
Year 3 PV (M)	14,743.65	15,166.88	15,598.14
Year 4 PV (M)	16,832.09	17,479.40	18,145.21
Year 5 PV (M)	18,878.36	19,790.20	20,736.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)	564,610.41	591,881.31	620,195.92
Equity Value (M)	638,114.67	667,707.12	698,406.96
Shares Outstanding (M)	101.41	101.41	101.41
Fair Value	$6,292.30	$6,584.10	$6,886.82
Upside / Downside	192.80%	206.38%	220.47%

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Tsubakimoto Chain Co. (6371.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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