DDM Analysis: 6245.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$5,045.61 - $12,357.40	$11,580.69
Multi-Stage	$1,813.20 - $1,983.77	$1,896.92
Blended Fair Value	$6,738.80
Current Price	$1,601.00
Upside	320.91%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	18.59%	16.98%	104.78	55.78	55.75	49.68	42.70	44.68	34.76	28.77	23.85	12.95
YoY Growth	-	-	87.84%	0.07%	12.21%	16.34%	-4.42%	28.52%	20.85%	20.61%	84.16%	-40.71%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.09%	2.99%	2.60%	2.95%	1.68%	3.38%	2.05%	1.08%	1.73%	1.53%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	939.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	452.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)	486.99

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	187.99	117.50	70.50
Cash Retained (M)	486.99	486.99	486.99
(-) Cash Required (M)	-187.99	-117.50	-70.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)	299.00	369.50	416.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	15.13	15.13	15.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share	19.77	24.43	27.53
LTM Dividend per Share	29.94	29.94	29.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share	19.77	24.43	27.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend	49.71	54.37	57.48
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$5,045.61	$11,580.69	$12,357.40
Upside / Downside	215.15%	623.34%	671.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	939.96	1,001.06	1,066.13	1,135.43	1,209.23	1,287.83	1,326.47
Payout Ratio	48.19%	56.55%	64.91%	73.28%	81.64%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	452.97	566.12	692.07	832.00	987.19	1,159.05	1,226.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	526.39	531.37	536.36
Year 2 PV (M)	598.32	609.72	621.22
Year 3 PV (M)	668.81	688.01	707.57
Year 4 PV (M)	737.86	766.23	795.42
Year 5 PV (M)	805.50	844.40	884.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)	24,092.04	25,255.69	26,463.88
Equity Value (M)	27,428.91	28,695.43	30,009.26
Shares Outstanding (M)	15.13	15.13	15.13
Fair Value	$1,813.20	$1,896.92	$1,983.77
Upside / Downside	13.25%	18.48%	23.91%

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HIRANO TECSEED Co.,Ltd. (6245.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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