DDM Analysis: 605398.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.24 - $0.33	$0.28
Multi-Stage	$0.35 - $0.39	$0.37
Blended Fair Value	$0.33
Current Price	$30.89
Upside	-98.94%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-10.16%	0.00%	0.08	0.07	0.09	0.14	0.13	0.14	0.22	0.18	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	12.19%	-22.06%	-35.74%	12.40%	-7.31%	-37.95%	22.85%	5,498.10%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.25%	0.40%	0.50%	1.03%	0.74%	0.70%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	6.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)	6.68

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1.34	0.84	0.50
Cash Retained (M)	6.68	6.68	6.68
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1.34	-0.84	-0.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)	5.34	5.84	6.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	174.40	174.40	174.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.03	0.03	0.04
LTM Dividend per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.03	0.03	0.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.03	0.03	0.04
WACC / Discount Rate	9.91%	9.91%	9.91%
Growth Rate	-2.78%	-1.78%	-0.78%
Fair Value	$0.24	$0.28	$0.33
Upside / Downside	-99.24%	-99.09%	-98.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	6.69	6.57	6.46	6.34	6.23	6.12	6.30
Payout Ratio	0.19%	18.15%	36.12%	54.08%	72.04%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.01	1.19	2.33	3.43	4.49	5.51	5.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.91%	9.91%	9.91%
Growth Rate	-2.78%	-1.78%	-0.78%
Year 1 PV (M)	1.07	1.09	1.10
Year 2 PV (M)	1.89	1.93	1.97
Year 3 PV (M)	2.50	2.58	2.66
Year 4 PV (M)	2.95	3.08	3.20
Year 5 PV (M)	3.26	3.43	3.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)	49.98	52.60	55.33
Equity Value (M)	61.66	64.71	67.88
Shares Outstanding (M)	174.40	174.40	174.40
Fair Value	$0.35	$0.37	$0.39
Upside / Downside	-98.86%	-98.80%	-98.74%

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Shanghai New Centurion Network Information Technology Co., Ltd. (605398.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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