DDM Analysis: 603662.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$22.58 - $49.64	$32.47
Multi-Stage	$15.99 - $17.48	$16.72
Blended Fair Value	$24.59
Current Price	$76.04
Upside	-67.66%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	237.40%	17.90%	0.42	0.28	0.27	0.24	0.21	0.00	0.09	0.09	0.09	0.09
YoY Growth	-	-	50.44%	2.47%	13.92%	12.00%	22,129.71%	-98.90%	-0.41%	-0.67%	0.93%	8.03%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.64%	0.88%	1.51%	1.48%	1.39%	0.01%	0.72%	0.72%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	323.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	13.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)	310.34

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	64.79	40.50	24.30
Cash Retained (M)	310.34	310.34	310.34
(-) Cash Required (M)	-64.79	-40.50	-24.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)	245.55	269.84	286.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	280.92	280.92	280.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.87	0.96	1.02
LTM Dividend per Share	0.05	0.05	0.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.87	0.96	1.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.92	1.01	1.07
WACC / Discount Rate	9.81%	9.81%	9.81%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$22.58	$32.47	$49.64
Upside / Downside	-70.30%	-57.30%	-34.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	323.97	345.03	367.45	391.34	416.77	443.86	457.18
Payout Ratio	4.21%	21.37%	38.52%	55.68%	72.84%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	13.63	73.72	141.56	217.91	303.58	399.48	422.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.81%	9.81%	9.81%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	66.50	67.13	67.76
Year 2 PV (M)	115.20	117.39	119.61
Year 3 PV (M)	159.98	164.57	169.25
Year 4 PV (M)	201.06	208.79	216.74
Year 5 PV (M)	238.67	250.20	262.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,710.07	3,889.26	4,075.32
Equity Value (M)	4,491.47	4,697.34	4,910.85
Shares Outstanding (M)	280.92	280.92	280.92
Fair Value	$15.99	$16.72	$17.48
Upside / Downside	-78.97%	-78.01%	-77.01%

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Keli Sensing Technology (Ningbo) Co.,Ltd. (603662.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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