DDM Analysis: 601179.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$39.80 - $46.90	$43.95
Multi-Stage	$27.32 - $29.98	$28.62
Blended Fair Value	$36.29
Current Price	$6.76
Upside	436.77%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	19.78%	1.28%	0.10	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.06	0.04	0.06	0.10	0.14	0.10
YoY Growth	-	-	79.47%	68.60%	4.64%	-44.25%	39.70%	-27.43%	-44.59%	-27.48%	37.15%	15.09%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.56%	1.05%	0.65%	0.72%	1.32%	0.82%	1.32%	2.50%	2.25%	1.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,205.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	325.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)	880.62

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	241.18	150.74	90.44
Cash Retained (M)	880.62	880.62	880.62
(-) Cash Required (M)	-241.18	-150.74	-90.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)	639.44	729.88	790.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	5,113.92	5,113.92	5,113.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.13	0.14	0.15
LTM Dividend per Share	0.06	0.06	0.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.13	0.14	0.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.19	0.21	0.22
WACC / Discount Rate	2.10%	2.10%	2.10%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$39.80	$43.95	$46.90
Upside / Downside	488.83%	550.13%	593.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,205.91	1,284.30	1,367.78	1,456.68	1,551.37	1,652.21	1,701.77
Payout Ratio	26.97%	39.58%	52.18%	64.79%	77.39%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	325.29	508.32	713.77	943.78	1,200.68	1,486.99	1,574.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	2.10%	2.10%	2.10%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	493.18	497.85	502.53
Year 2 PV (M)	671.87	684.67	697.59
Year 3 PV (M)	861.91	886.66	911.87
Year 4 PV (M)	1,063.85	1,104.77	1,146.85
Year 5 PV (M)	1,278.28	1,340.02	1,404.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)	135,320.02	141,856.03	148,642.19
Equity Value (M)	139,689.12	146,370.00	153,305.14
Shares Outstanding (M)	5,113.92	5,113.92	5,113.92
Fair Value	$27.32	$28.62	$29.98
Upside / Downside	304.07%	323.40%	343.46%

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China XD Electric Co., Ltd (601179.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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