DDM Analysis: 600629.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$48.83 - $57.58	$53.94
Multi-Stage	$30.45 - $33.55	$31.97
Blended Fair Value	$42.95
Current Price	$28.69
Upside	49.72%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	3.11%	-1.88%	0.15	0.03	0.12	0.05	0.13	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.01	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	432.80%	-76.69%	124.92%	-58.32%	0.11%	23.41%	312.38%	165.18%	47.91%	-96.44%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.85%	0.51%	2.25%	0.76%	2.49%	2.33%	1.29%	0.28%	0.08%	0.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	297.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	124.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	173.86

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	59.57	37.23	22.34
Cash Retained (M)	173.86	173.86	173.86
(-) Cash Required (M)	-59.57	-37.23	-22.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)	114.29	136.63	151.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	986.72	986.72	986.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.12	0.14	0.15
LTM Dividend per Share	0.13	0.13	0.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.12	0.14	0.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.24	0.26	0.28
WACC / Discount Rate	0.68%	0.68%	0.68%
Growth Rate	1.11%	2.11%	3.11%
Fair Value	$48.83	$53.94	$57.58
Upside / Downside	70.21%	88.01%	100.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	297.86	304.14	310.54	317.08	323.76	330.58	340.50
Payout Ratio	41.63%	51.30%	60.98%	70.65%	80.33%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	124.00	156.03	189.36	224.03	260.07	297.53	314.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	0.68%	0.68%	0.68%
Growth Rate	1.11%	2.11%	3.11%
Year 1 PV (M)	153.46	154.98	156.49
Year 2 PV (M)	183.16	186.80	190.48
Year 3 PV (M)	213.11	219.50	226.01
Year 4 PV (M)	243.31	253.08	263.14
Year 5 PV (M)	273.76	287.57	301.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)	28,980.27	30,442.05	31,962.24
Equity Value (M)	30,047.06	31,543.97	33,100.29
Shares Outstanding (M)	986.72	986.72	986.72
Fair Value	$30.45	$31.97	$33.55
Upside / Downside	6.14%	11.43%	16.92%

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Arcplus Group PLC (600629.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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