DDM Analysis: 600367.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$5.97 - $10.69	$7.95
Multi-Stage	$5.38 - $5.89	$5.63
Blended Fair Value	$6.79
Current Price	$17.47
Upside	-61.13%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-13.21%	0.73%	0.03	0.09	0.11	0.03	0.05	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.05
YoY Growth	-	-	-68.19%	-11.14%	203.95%	-32.67%	-14.86%	42.24%	34.65%	85.92%	-63.12%	66.36%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.20%	0.85%	0.70%	0.15%	0.66%	0.86%	0.46%	0.31%	0.13%	0.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	138.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	8.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)	130.89

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	27.79	17.37	10.42
Cash Retained (M)	130.89	130.89	130.89
(-) Cash Required (M)	-27.79	-17.37	-10.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)	103.10	113.52	120.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	331.65	331.65	331.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.31	0.34	0.36
LTM Dividend per Share	0.02	0.02	0.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.31	0.34	0.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.34	0.37	0.39
WACC / Discount Rate	9.89%	9.89%	9.89%
Growth Rate	4.05%	5.05%	6.05%
Fair Value	$5.97	$7.95	$10.69
Upside / Downside	-65.84%	-54.48%	-38.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	138.97	145.98	153.34	161.08	169.21	177.74	183.08
Payout Ratio	5.81%	22.65%	39.49%	56.32%	73.16%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	8.07	33.06	60.55	90.73	123.79	159.97	169.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.89%	9.89%	9.89%
Growth Rate	4.05%	5.05%	6.05%
Year 1 PV (M)	29.80	30.09	30.37
Year 2 PV (M)	49.19	50.14	51.10
Year 3 PV (M)	66.44	68.37	70.34
Year 4 PV (M)	81.71	84.90	88.18
Year 5 PV (M)	95.17	99.83	104.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,462.50	1,534.14	1,608.57
Equity Value (M)	1,784.81	1,867.47	1,953.24
Shares Outstanding (M)	331.65	331.65	331.65
Fair Value	$5.38	$5.63	$5.89
Upside / Downside	-69.20%	-67.77%	-66.29%

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Guizhou RedStar Developing Co.,Ltd. (600367.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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