DDM Analysis: 600160.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$247.06 - $291.08	$272.79
Multi-Stage	$482.47 - $529.72	$505.65
Blended Fair Value	$389.22
Current Price	$40.01
Upside	872.81%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.00	0.14	0.01	0.13	0.15	0.09	0.20	0.08	0.08
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-100.00%	2,165.60%	-94.92%	-18.40%	80.82%	-57.49%	163.01%	-0.33%	-48.27%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.82%	0.05%	1.36%	2.27%	0.94%	2.18%	0.88%	0.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,950.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	653.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,296.24

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	790.02	493.76	296.26
Cash Retained (M)	3,296.24	3,296.24	3,296.24
(-) Cash Required (M)	-790.02	-493.76	-296.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,506.22	2,802.48	2,999.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,698.80	2,698.80	2,698.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.93	1.04	1.11
LTM Dividend per Share	0.24	0.24	0.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.93	1.04	1.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.17	1.28	1.35
WACC / Discount Rate	-17.32%	-17.32%	-17.32%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$247.06	$272.79	$291.08
Upside / Downside	517.50%	581.80%	627.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,950.08	4,206.84	4,480.28	4,771.50	5,081.65	5,411.96	5,574.32
Payout Ratio	16.55%	31.24%	45.93%	60.62%	75.31%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	653.85	1,314.31	2,057.87	2,892.54	3,827.02	4,870.76	5,156.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	-17.32%	-17.32%	-17.32%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,574.61	1,589.54	1,604.46
Year 2 PV (M)	2,953.73	3,009.99	3,066.78
Year 3 PV (M)	4,974.05	5,116.83	5,262.33
Year 4 PV (M)	7,884.40	8,187.61	8,499.48
Year 5 PV (M)	12,022.14	12,602.82	13,205.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,272,677.57	1,334,148.38	1,397,971.81
Equity Value (M)	1,302,086.51	1,364,655.17	1,429,610.59
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,698.80	2,698.80	2,698.80
Fair Value	$482.47	$505.65	$529.72
Upside / Downside	1,105.87%	1,163.82%	1,223.97%

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Zhejiang Juhua Co., Ltd. (600160.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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