DDM Analysis: 3269.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$123,717.22 - $202,121.49	$158,743.29
Multi-Stage	$215,568.38 - $236,645.67	$225,904.87
Blended Fair Value	$192,324.08
Current Price	$156,100.00
Upside	23.21%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	2.18%	2.97%	5,933.58	5,675.42	5,664.91	5,500.35	5,458.74	5,327.70	5,163.08	4,942.06	4,529.00	4,167.90
YoY Growth	-	-	4.55%	0.19%	2.99%	0.76%	2.46%	3.19%	4.47%	9.12%	8.66%	-5.83%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.15%	3.60%	3.27%	2.98%	2.92%	3.12%	3.06%	3.40%	3.36%	2.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	31,777.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	16,554.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)	15,223.08

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	6,355.60	3,972.25	2,383.35
Cash Retained (M)	15,223.08	15,223.08	15,223.08
(-) Cash Required (M)	-6,355.60	-3,972.25	-2,383.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)	8,867.48	11,250.83	12,839.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2.86	2.86	2.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3,105.82	3,940.58	4,497.09
LTM Dividend per Share	5,798.32	5,798.32	5,798.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3,105.82	3,940.58	4,497.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend	8,904.14	9,738.90	10,295.41
WACC / Discount Rate	7.11%	7.11%	7.11%
Growth Rate	-0.08%	0.92%	1.92%
Fair Value	$123,717.22	$158,743.29	$202,121.49
Upside / Downside	-20.74%	1.69%	29.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	31,777.98	32,071.27	32,367.26	32,665.98	32,967.46	33,271.72	34,269.87
Payout Ratio	52.10%	59.68%	67.26%	74.84%	82.42%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	16,554.91	19,138.98	21,769.35	24,446.63	27,171.48	29,944.55	31,699.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.11%	7.11%	7.11%
Growth Rate	-0.08%	0.92%	1.92%
Year 1 PV (M)	17,690.73	17,867.77	18,044.82
Year 2 PV (M)	18,599.41	18,973.55	19,351.41
Year 3 PV (M)	19,306.33	19,891.79	20,488.96
Year 4 PV (M)	19,834.49	20,640.48	21,470.79
Year 5 PV (M)	20,204.69	21,236.15	22,309.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)	519,838.16	546,375.99	573,986.74
Equity Value (M)	615,473.81	644,985.73	675,652.02
Shares Outstanding (M)	2.86	2.86	2.86
Fair Value	$215,568.38	$225,904.87	$236,645.67
Upside / Downside	38.10%	44.72%	51.60%

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Advance Residence Investment Corporation (3269.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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