DDM Analysis: 300791.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$142.14 - $271.25	$254.20
Multi-Stage	$42.74 - $46.77	$44.72
Blended Fair Value	$149.46
Current Price	$23.78
Upside	528.50%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	72.76%	14.34%	0.87	0.33	0.30	0.29	0.10	0.06	0.17	0.89	1.05	0.55
YoY Growth	-	-	161.99%	10.18%	4.90%	180.47%	81.22%	-67.75%	-80.36%	-15.41%	92.84%	140.21%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.31%	1.53%	1.41%	1.66%	0.29%	0.43%	0.50%	0.00%	0.00%	1.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	345.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	176.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)	169.20

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	69.11	43.19	25.91
Cash Retained (M)	169.20	169.20	169.20
(-) Cash Required (M)	-69.11	-43.19	-25.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)	100.09	126.01	143.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	253.34	253.34	253.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.40	0.50	0.57
LTM Dividend per Share	0.70	0.70	0.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.40	0.50	0.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.09	1.19	1.26
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$142.14	$254.20	$271.25
Upside / Downside	497.74%	968.96%	1,040.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	345.53	367.99	391.91	417.38	444.51	473.40	487.60
Payout Ratio	51.03%	58.83%	66.62%	74.41%	82.21%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	176.33	216.47	261.08	310.58	365.42	426.06	451.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	201.71	203.62	205.53
Year 2 PV (M)	226.69	231.01	235.37
Year 3 PV (M)	251.29	258.50	265.85
Year 4 PV (M)	275.49	286.08	296.98
Year 5 PV (M)	299.31	313.77	328.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)	9,573.02	10,035.40	10,515.48
Equity Value (M)	10,827.51	11,328.38	11,847.99
Shares Outstanding (M)	253.34	253.34	253.34
Fair Value	$42.74	$44.72	$46.77
Upside / Downside	79.73%	88.04%	96.67%

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Sirio Pharma Co., Ltd. (300791.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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