DDM Analysis: 300458.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$5.18 - $9.41	$6.93
Multi-Stage	$4.83 - $5.27	$5.04
Blended Fair Value	$5.99
Current Price	$51.82
Upside	-88.44%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-0.05%	1.65%	0.12	0.12	0.21	0.16	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.06	0.04	0.03
YoY Growth	-	-	0.68%	-42.68%	29.25%	33.74%	0.00%	1,097.14%	-83.43%	56.21%	33.33%	-71.43%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.29%	0.77%	0.98%	0.73%	0.86%	1.07%	0.10%	0.60%	0.27%	0.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	294.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	163.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)	130.41

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	58.84	36.77	22.06
Cash Retained (M)	130.41	130.41	130.41
(-) Cash Required (M)	-58.84	-36.77	-22.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)	71.57	93.64	108.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	833.64	833.64	833.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.09	0.11	0.13
LTM Dividend per Share	0.20	0.20	0.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.09	0.11	0.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.28	0.31	0.33
WACC / Discount Rate	9.99%	9.99%	9.99%
Growth Rate	4.30%	5.30%	6.30%
Fair Value	$5.18	$6.93	$9.41
Upside / Downside	-90.01%	-86.62%	-81.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	294.20	309.79	326.21	343.50	361.70	380.87	392.30
Payout Ratio	55.67%	62.54%	69.40%	76.27%	83.13%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	163.79	193.74	226.40	261.98	300.70	342.79	362.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.99%	9.99%	9.99%
Growth Rate	4.30%	5.30%	6.30%
Year 1 PV (M)	174.47	176.14	177.82
Year 2 PV (M)	183.61	187.15	190.72
Year 3 PV (M)	191.33	196.89	202.55
Year 4 PV (M)	197.77	205.46	213.38
Year 5 PV (M)	203.03	212.95	223.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,075.18	3,225.45	3,381.54
Equity Value (M)	4,025.39	4,204.04	4,389.27
Shares Outstanding (M)	833.64	833.64	833.64
Fair Value	$4.83	$5.04	$5.27
Upside / Downside	-90.68%	-90.27%	-89.84%

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Allwinnertech Technology Co.,Ltd. (300458.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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