DDM Analysis: 300380.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.97 - $1.35	$1.16
Multi-Stage	$1.65 - $1.81	$1.73
Blended Fair Value	$1.44
Current Price	$49.40
Upside	-97.08%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-5.40%	-2.04%	0.08	0.07	0.08	0.22	0.10	0.11	0.03	0.01	0.11	0.10
YoY Growth	-	-	13.26%	-15.91%	-61.00%	119.21%	-6.95%	245.18%	157.24%	-88.56%	5.83%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.16%	0.39%	0.44%	1.25%	0.53%	0.59%	0.12%	0.06%	0.34%	0.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	23.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	13.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)	9.90

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	4.64	2.90	1.74
Cash Retained (M)	9.90	9.90	9.90
(-) Cash Required (M)	-4.64	-2.90	-1.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)	5.27	7.00	8.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	138.49	138.49	138.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.05	0.06
LTM Dividend per Share	0.10	0.10	0.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.05	0.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.13	0.15	0.15
WACC / Discount Rate	9.88%	9.88%	9.88%
Growth Rate	-3.45%	-2.45%	-1.45%
Fair Value	$0.97	$1.16	$1.35
Upside / Downside	-98.04%	-97.65%	-97.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	23.20	22.63	22.08	21.53	21.01	20.49	21.11
Payout Ratio	57.30%	63.84%	70.38%	76.92%	83.46%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	13.29	14.45	15.54	16.56	17.53	18.44	19.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.88%	9.88%	9.88%
Growth Rate	-3.45%	-2.45%	-1.45%
Year 1 PV (M)	13.01	13.15	13.28
Year 2 PV (M)	12.61	12.87	13.13
Year 3 PV (M)	12.11	12.49	12.87
Year 4 PV (M)	11.54	12.03	12.53
Year 5 PV (M)	10.94	11.51	12.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)	168.25	177.14	186.41
Equity Value (M)	228.45	239.18	250.34
Shares Outstanding (M)	138.49	138.49	138.49
Fair Value	$1.65	$1.73	$1.81
Upside / Downside	-96.66%	-96.50%	-96.34%

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Shanghai Amarsoft Information & Technology Co.,Ltd (300380.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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