DDM Analysis: 2458.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$79.91 - $253.76	$237.81
Multi-Stage	$33.30 - $36.47	$34.85
Blended Fair Value	$136.33
Current Price	$4.33
Upside	3,048.57%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019
DPS	25.29%	0.00%	0.18	0.00	0.00	0.59	0.15	0.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	300.00%	150.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.83%	0.00%	0.00%	12.63%	3.05%	1.15%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	172.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	24.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)	148.06

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	34.55	21.60	12.96
Cash Retained (M)	148.06	148.06	148.06
(-) Cash Required (M)	-34.55	-21.60	-12.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)	113.51	126.47	135.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	135.39	135.39	135.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.84	0.93	1.00
LTM Dividend per Share	0.18	0.18	0.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.84	0.93	1.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.02	1.12	1.18
WACC / Discount Rate	6.85%	6.85%	6.85%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$79.91	$237.81	$253.76
Upside / Downside	1,745.59%	5,392.23%	5,760.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	172.76	183.99	195.95	208.69	222.25	236.70	243.80
Payout Ratio	14.30%	29.44%	44.58%	59.72%	74.86%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	24.70	54.16	87.35	124.63	166.38	213.03	225.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.85%	6.85%	6.85%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	50.22	50.69	51.17
Year 2 PV (M)	75.08	76.51	77.96
Year 3 PV (M)	99.32	102.17	105.07
Year 4 PV (M)	122.93	127.65	132.52
Year 5 PV (M)	145.92	152.97	160.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,014.86	4,208.77	4,410.11
Equity Value (M)	4,508.32	4,718.77	4,937.12
Shares Outstanding (M)	135.39	135.39	135.39
Fair Value	$33.30	$34.85	$36.47
Upside / Downside	669.01%	704.90%	742.15%

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Gala Technology Holding Limited (2458.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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