DDM Analysis: 2081.SR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$81.26 - $133.13	$104.39
Multi-Stage	$249.31 - $275.15	$261.98
Blended Fair Value	$183.18
Current Price	$140.10
Upside	30.75%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.00	2.14	1.07	0.57	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-100.00%	100.00%	87.50%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	2.25%	1.56%	0.78%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	259.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	52.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)	206.76

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	51.85	32.41	19.44
Cash Retained (M)	206.76	206.76	206.76
(-) Cash Required (M)	-51.85	-32.41	-19.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)	154.91	174.35	187.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	35.00	35.00	35.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	4.43	4.98	5.35
LTM Dividend per Share	1.50	1.50	1.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share	4.43	4.98	5.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.93	6.48	6.85
WACC / Discount Rate	5.15%	5.15%	5.15%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$81.26	$104.39	$133.13
Upside / Downside	-42.00%	-25.49%	-4.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	259.26	256.67	254.10	251.56	249.05	246.56	253.95
Payout Ratio	20.25%	34.20%	48.15%	62.10%	76.05%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	52.50	87.78	122.35	156.22	189.40	221.90	234.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.15%	5.15%	5.15%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	82.64	83.48	84.33
Year 2 PV (M)	108.44	110.67	112.91
Year 3 PV (M)	130.35	134.38	138.50
Year 4 PV (M)	148.78	154.95	161.31
Year 5 PV (M)	164.11	172.65	181.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)	8,091.66	8,513.01	8,951.74
Equity Value (M)	8,725.98	9,169.15	9,630.33
Shares Outstanding (M)	35.00	35.00	35.00
Fair Value	$249.31	$261.98	$275.15
Upside / Downside	77.95%	86.99%	96.40%

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Alkhorayef Water & Power Technologies (2081.SR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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