DDM Analysis: 2030.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.28 - $0.37	$0.33
Multi-Stage	$1.00 - $1.11	$1.06
Blended Fair Value	$0.69
Current Price	$1.42
Upside	-51.15%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-24.27%	-17.58%	0.03	0.03	0.04	0.11	0.09	0.11	0.18	0.10	0.14	0.17
YoY Growth	-	-	-5.66%	-22.57%	-67.40%	21.10%	-13.62%	-40.16%	84.18%	-30.03%	-14.30%	-12.15%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.37%	3.13%	4.14%	5.00%	3.30%	8.17%	10.70%	5.23%	7.84%	4.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	54.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	34.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)	19.61

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	10.87	6.79	4.08
Cash Retained (M)	19.61	19.61	19.61
(-) Cash Required (M)	-10.87	-6.79	-4.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)	8.74	12.81	15.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	668.59	668.59	668.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.01	0.02	0.02
LTM Dividend per Share	0.05	0.05	0.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.01	0.02	0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.07	0.07	0.08
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	-13.52%	-12.52%	-11.52%
Fair Value	$0.28	$0.33	$0.37
Upside / Downside	-80.05%	-76.76%	-73.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	54.34	47.54	41.59	36.38	31.83	27.85	28.68
Payout Ratio	63.92%	69.13%	74.35%	79.57%	84.78%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	34.73	32.86	30.92	28.95	26.99	25.06	26.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	-13.52%	-12.52%	-11.52%
Year 1 PV (M)	30.55	30.91	31.26
Year 2 PV (M)	26.72	27.35	27.97
Year 3 PV (M)	23.26	24.08	24.91
Year 4 PV (M)	20.16	21.11	22.09
Year 5 PV (M)	17.40	18.43	19.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)	552.33	585.01	619.22
Equity Value (M)	670.43	706.88	744.96
Shares Outstanding (M)	668.59	668.59	668.59
Fair Value	$1.00	$1.06	$1.11
Upside / Downside	-29.38%	-25.54%	-21.53%

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Cabbeen Fashion Limited (2030.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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