DDM Analysis: 1696.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2.22 - $5.94	$3.41
Multi-Stage	$1.56 - $1.70	$1.63
Blended Fair Value	$2.52
Current Price	$0.55
Upside	354.47%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	11.02%	0.00%	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-9.61%	12.71%	122.50%	-33.20%	11.38%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.17%	3.33%	1.75%	0.73%	3.14%	2.27%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	44.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	20.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)	24.14

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	8.83	5.52	3.31
Cash Retained (M)	24.14	24.14	24.14
(-) Cash Required (M)	-8.83	-5.52	-3.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)	15.31	18.62	20.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	468.13	468.13	468.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.03	0.04	0.04
LTM Dividend per Share	0.04	0.04	0.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.03	0.04	0.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.08	0.08	0.09
WACC / Discount Rate	9.08%	9.08%	9.08%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$2.22	$3.41	$5.94
Upside / Downside	301.56%	515.33%	972.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	44.15	47.02	50.08	53.33	56.80	60.49	62.31
Payout Ratio	45.32%	54.26%	63.19%	72.13%	81.06%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	20.01	25.51	31.65	38.47	46.04	54.44	57.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.08%	9.08%	9.08%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	23.17	23.39	23.61
Year 2 PV (M)	26.10	26.60	27.10
Year 3 PV (M)	28.81	29.64	30.48
Year 4 PV (M)	31.32	32.53	33.76
Year 5 PV (M)	33.63	35.26	36.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)	585.75	614.04	643.41
Equity Value (M)	728.78	761.45	795.31
Shares Outstanding (M)	468.13	468.13	468.13
Fair Value	$1.56	$1.63	$1.70
Upside / Downside	181.02%	193.62%	206.68%

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Sisram Medical Ltd (1696.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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