DDM Analysis: 003025.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$98.61 - $116.18	$108.88
Multi-Stage	$69.75 - $76.55	$73.09
Blended Fair Value	$90.98
Current Price	$13.77
Upside	560.72%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	9.44%	32.48%	0.19	0.24	0.20	0.18	0.12	0.12	0.17	0.06	0.05	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	-19.44%	16.00%	16.67%	44.01%	0.00%	-28.74%	163.71%	42.89%	429.08%	-25.34%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.25%	1.94%	1.37%	1.61%	1.23%	1.40%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	144.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	51.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)	93.26

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	28.98	18.11	10.87
Cash Retained (M)	93.26	93.26	93.26
(-) Cash Required (M)	-28.98	-18.11	-10.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)	64.28	75.15	82.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	248.02	248.02	248.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.26	0.30	0.33
LTM Dividend per Share	0.21	0.21	0.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.26	0.30	0.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.47	0.51	0.54
WACC / Discount Rate	1.51%	1.51%	1.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$98.61	$108.88	$116.18
Upside / Downside	616.13%	690.69%	743.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	144.89	154.31	164.34	175.02	186.40	198.52	204.47
Payout Ratio	35.63%	46.51%	57.38%	68.25%	79.13%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	51.63	71.77	94.30	119.46	147.49	178.66	189.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	1.51%	1.51%	1.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	70.03	70.70	71.36
Year 2 PV (M)	89.80	91.51	93.24
Year 3 PV (M)	111.01	114.20	117.45
Year 4 PV (M)	133.75	138.90	144.19
Year 5 PV (M)	158.11	165.74	173.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)	16,737.50	17,545.93	18,385.29
Equity Value (M)	17,300.21	18,126.97	18,985.20
Shares Outstanding (M)	248.02	248.02	248.02
Fair Value	$69.75	$73.09	$76.55
Upside / Downside	406.55%	430.76%	455.89%

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Sijin Intelligent Forming Machinery Co., Ltd. (003025.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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