DDM Analysis: 002753.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$17.76 - $41.26	$38.67
Multi-Stage	$6.32 - $6.91	$6.61
Blended Fair Value	$22.64
Current Price	$6.93
Upside	226.66%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-5.52%	18.04%	0.18	0.14	0.23	0.10	0.06	0.24	0.11	0.04	0.05	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	26.80%	-40.54%	130.73%	70.65%	-74.64%	119.24%	178.40%	-18.86%	224.12%	-56.53%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.73%	2.15%	2.92%	1.17%	0.78%	3.46%	0.92%	0.30%	0.37%	0.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	78.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	70.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)	7.79

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	15.63	9.77	5.86
Cash Retained (M)	7.79	7.79	7.79
(-) Cash Required (M)	-15.63	-9.77	-5.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-7.84	-1.98	1.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	376.78	376.78	376.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	-0.01	0.01
LTM Dividend per Share	0.19	0.19	0.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	-0.01	0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.17	0.18	0.19
WACC / Discount Rate	6.49%	6.49%	6.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$17.76	$38.67	$41.26
Upside / Downside	156.24%	457.96%	495.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	78.17	83.25	88.66	94.42	100.56	107.10	110.31
Payout Ratio	90.03%	90.02%	90.02%	90.01%	90.01%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	70.37	74.94	79.81	84.99	90.51	96.39	102.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.49%	6.49%	6.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	69.72	70.38	71.04
Year 2 PV (M)	69.07	70.38	71.71
Year 3 PV (M)	68.42	70.39	72.39
Year 4 PV (M)	67.79	70.39	73.07
Year 5 PV (M)	67.15	70.40	73.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,039.26	2,137.76	2,240.03
Equity Value (M)	2,381.42	2,489.70	2,602.01
Shares Outstanding (M)	376.78	376.78	376.78
Fair Value	$6.32	$6.61	$6.91
Upside / Downside	-8.80%	-4.65%	-0.35%

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Shanxi Yongdong Chemistry Industry Co., Ltd. (002753.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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