Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Shinil Electronics Co.,Ltd (002700.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$382.34 - $649.00$498.44
Multi-Stage$1,499.97 - $1,656.10$1,576.47
Blended Fair Value$1,037.46
Current Price$1,285.00
Upside-19.26%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-9.70%0.00%15.2810.1925.4720.2520.4225.450.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--50.00%-60.00%25.74%-0.81%-19.77%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.04%0.54%1.21%0.90%0.93%1.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,207.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)689.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,518.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)441.42275.89165.53
Cash Retained (M)1,518.101,518.101,518.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-441.42-275.89-165.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,076.681,242.211,352.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)69.0069.0069.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share15.6018.0019.60
LTM Dividend per Share9.999.999.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share15.6018.0019.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend25.5927.9929.59
WACC / Discount Rate4.56%4.56%4.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$382.34$498.44$649.00
Upside / Downside-70.25%-61.21%-49.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,207.122,185.052,163.202,141.572,120.152,098.952,161.92
Payout Ratio31.22%42.97%54.73%66.49%78.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)689.02939.011,183.941,423.871,658.881,889.051,999.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.56%4.56%4.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)889.00898.07907.14
Year 2 PV (M)1,061.181,082.951,104.93
Year 3 PV (M)1,208.261,245.631,283.75
Year 4 PV (M)1,332.711,387.951,444.88
Year 5 PV (M)1,436.801,511.611,589.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)97,574.63102,655.57107,946.00
Equity Value (M)103,502.58108,781.77114,276.23
Shares Outstanding (M)69.0069.0069.00
Fair Value$1,499.97$1,576.47$1,656.10
Upside / Downside16.73%22.68%28.88%

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