DDM Analysis: 002286.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$11.03 - $38.36	$18.19
Multi-Stage	$7.11 - $7.77	$7.43
Blended Fair Value	$12.81
Current Price	$9.63
Upside	33.02%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	5.53%	15.62%	0.15	0.14	0.14	0.11	0.07	0.12	0.17	0.10	0.08	0.05
YoY Growth	-	-	11.17%	-5.25%	34.84%	60.20%	-42.49%	-30.96%	66.57%	31.95%	47.42%	45.83%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.96%	2.17%	1.60%	0.89%	0.62%	1.45%	2.33%	0.91%	0.52%	0.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	144.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	44.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)	99.88

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	28.82	18.01	10.81
Cash Retained (M)	99.88	99.88	99.88
(-) Cash Required (M)	-28.82	-18.01	-10.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)	71.07	81.87	89.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	364.73	364.73	364.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.19	0.22	0.24
LTM Dividend per Share	0.12	0.12	0.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.19	0.22	0.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.32	0.35	0.37
WACC / Discount Rate	8.52%	8.52%	8.52%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$11.03	$18.19	$38.36
Upside / Downside	14.50%	88.88%	298.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	144.09	153.46	163.43	174.05	185.37	197.42	203.34
Payout Ratio	30.68%	42.54%	54.41%	66.27%	78.14%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	44.21	65.29	88.92	115.35	144.84	177.67	188.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.52%	8.52%	8.52%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	59.59	60.16	60.72
Year 2 PV (M)	74.09	75.50	76.92
Year 3 PV (M)	87.73	90.25	92.81
Year 4 PV (M)	100.55	104.42	108.40
Year 5 PV (M)	112.59	118.03	123.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,157.70	2,261.91	2,370.12
Equity Value (M)	2,592.25	2,710.26	2,832.65
Shares Outstanding (M)	364.73	364.73	364.73
Fair Value	$7.11	$7.43	$7.77
Upside / Downside	-26.20%	-22.84%	-19.35%

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Baolingbao Biology Co.,Ltd. (002286.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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