DDM Analysis: 002255.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$5.00 - $7.61	$6.22
Multi-Stage	$6.00 - $6.58	$6.29
Blended Fair Value	$6.26
Current Price	$8.35
Upside	-25.08%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-69.55%	-40.47%	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	0.05
YoY Growth	-	-	-48.68%	803.61%	-98.76%	-89.11%	-58.33%	2.56%	1,578.28%	-88.85%	-54.21%	142.54%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.04%	0.38%	1.30%	0.90%	0.04%	0.23%	0.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	455.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)	455.82

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	91.20	57.00	34.20
Cash Retained (M)	455.82	455.82	455.82
(-) Cash Required (M)	-91.20	-57.00	-34.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)	364.62	398.82	421.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	833.52	833.52	833.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.44	0.48	0.51
LTM Dividend per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.44	0.48	0.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.44	0.48	0.51
WACC / Discount Rate	9.98%	9.98%	9.98%
Growth Rate	1.12%	2.12%	3.12%
Fair Value	$5.00	$6.22	$7.61
Upside / Downside	-40.14%	-25.47%	-8.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	455.98	465.66	475.55	485.65	495.96	506.50	521.69
Payout Ratio	0.03%	18.03%	36.02%	54.01%	72.01%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.16	83.95	171.30	262.32	357.13	455.85	482.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.98%	9.98%	9.98%
Growth Rate	1.12%	2.12%	3.12%
Year 1 PV (M)	75.58	76.33	77.08
Year 2 PV (M)	138.86	141.62	144.41
Year 3 PV (M)	191.46	197.20	203.05
Year 4 PV (M)	234.69	244.12	253.82
Year 5 PV (M)	269.72	283.32	297.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,091.59	4,297.94	4,512.53
Equity Value (M)	5,001.92	5,240.53	5,488.35
Shares Outstanding (M)	833.52	833.52	833.52
Fair Value	$6.00	$6.29	$6.58
Upside / Downside	-28.13%	-24.70%	-21.14%

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Suzhou Hailu Heavy Industry Co.,Ltd (002255.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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