DDM Analysis: 002081.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.66 - $0.88	$0.78
Multi-Stage	$2.28 - $2.52	$2.40
Blended Fair Value	$1.59
Current Price	$3.50
Upside	-54.67%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-12.34%	1.92%	0.13	0.13	0.04	0.25	0.26	0.25	0.19	0.18	0.18	0.07
YoY Growth	-	-	-2.05%	233.96%	-84.08%	-1.94%	1.34%	30.56%	5.65%	4.40%	135.64%	-31.15%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.97%	3.92%	0.77%	4.62%	2.73%	3.10%	1.57%	1.42%	1.59%	0.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	457.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	320.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)	137.08

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	91.47	57.17	34.30
Cash Retained (M)	137.08	137.08	137.08
(-) Cash Required (M)	-91.47	-57.17	-34.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)	45.60	79.91	102.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,655.92	2,655.92	2,655.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.03	0.04
LTM Dividend per Share	0.12	0.12	0.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.03	0.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.14	0.15	0.16
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	-11.88%	-10.88%	-9.88%
Fair Value	$0.66	$0.78	$0.88
Upside / Downside	-81.05%	-77.82%	-74.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	457.37	407.61	363.26	323.74	288.51	257.12	264.84
Payout Ratio	70.03%	74.02%	78.02%	82.01%	86.01%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	320.29	301.73	283.41	265.50	248.14	231.41	244.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	-11.88%	-10.88%	-9.88%
Year 1 PV (M)	280.34	283.52	286.71
Year 2 PV (M)	244.66	250.25	255.89
Year 3 PV (M)	212.96	220.29	227.79
Year 4 PV (M)	184.93	193.47	202.30
Year 5 PV (M)	160.24	169.54	179.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,960.35	5,248.26	5,549.40
Equity Value (M)	6,043.48	6,365.34	6,701.36
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,655.92	2,655.92	2,655.92
Fair Value	$2.28	$2.40	$2.52
Upside / Downside	-34.99%	-31.52%	-27.91%

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Suzhou Gold Mantis Construction Decoration Co., Ltd. (002081.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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