DDM Analysis: 001229.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$116.64 - $137.42	$128.78
Multi-Stage	$85.13 - $93.38	$89.17
Blended Fair Value	$108.98
Current Price	$33.87
Upside	221.75%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
DPS	39.89%	0.00%	0.61	0.41	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.11	0.70	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	50.00%	21,760.67%	-9.07%	0.00%	-100.00%	-83.70%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.88%	1.08%	0.01%	0.01%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	68.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	56.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)	11.86

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	13.61	8.51	5.11
Cash Retained (M)	11.86	11.86	11.86
(-) Cash Required (M)	-13.61	-8.51	-5.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-1.76	3.35	6.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	98.52	98.52	98.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	0.03	0.07
LTM Dividend per Share	0.57	0.57	0.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	0.03	0.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.55	0.60	0.64
WACC / Discount Rate	1.04%	1.04%	1.04%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$116.64	$128.78	$137.42
Upside / Downside	244.36%	280.22%	305.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	68.07	72.50	77.21	82.23	87.57	93.27	96.06
Payout Ratio	82.58%	84.06%	85.55%	87.03%	88.52%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	56.21	60.94	66.05	71.56	77.52	83.94	88.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	1.04%	1.04%	1.04%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	59.75	60.32	60.88
Year 2 PV (M)	63.49	64.70	65.92
Year 3 PV (M)	67.44	69.37	71.34
Year 4 PV (M)	71.61	74.37	77.20
Year 5 PV (M)	76.02	79.70	83.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)	8,048.06	8,436.78	8,840.39
Equity Value (M)	8,386.37	8,785.23	9,199.24
Shares Outstanding (M)	98.52	98.52	98.52
Fair Value	$85.13	$89.17	$93.38
Upside / Downside	151.33%	163.28%	175.69%

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Guangdong AVCiT Technology Holding Co., Ltd. (001229.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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