DDM Analysis: 000887.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$194.55 - $229.22	$214.81
Multi-Stage	$157.90 - $173.31	$165.46
Blended Fair Value	$190.13
Current Price	$24.86
Upside	664.82%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	14.56%	27.40%	0.38	0.20	0.20	0.19	0.19	0.19	0.28	0.09	0.07	0.03
YoY Growth	-	-	88.50%	0.00%	8.69%	0.00%	-3.69%	-32.08%	200.01%	27.03%	117.79%	1.27%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.98%	1.69%	1.58%	1.23%	1.86%	2.07%	2.22%	0.53%	0.30%	0.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,506.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	342.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,164.22

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	301.39	188.37	113.02
Cash Retained (M)	1,164.22	1,164.22	1,164.22
(-) Cash Required (M)	-301.39	-188.37	-113.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)	862.83	975.85	1,051.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,307.46	1,307.46	1,307.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.66	0.75	0.80
LTM Dividend per Share	0.26	0.26	0.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.66	0.75	0.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.92	1.01	1.07
WACC / Discount Rate	-1.31%	-1.31%	-1.31%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$194.55	$214.81	$229.22
Upside / Downside	682.60%	764.08%	822.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,506.94	1,604.89	1,709.21	1,820.31	1,938.63	2,064.64	2,126.58
Payout Ratio	22.74%	36.19%	49.65%	63.10%	76.55%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	342.73	580.88	848.55	1,148.57	1,484.00	1,858.18	1,967.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	-1.31%	-1.31%	-1.31%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	583.07	588.60	594.13
Year 2 PV (M)	854.96	871.24	887.68
Year 3 PV (M)	1,161.59	1,194.94	1,228.92
Year 4 PV (M)	1,506.48	1,564.42	1,624.01
Year 5 PV (M)	1,893.44	1,984.89	2,079.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)	200,441.33	210,122.72	220,174.64
Equity Value (M)	206,440.87	216,326.81	226,589.21
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,307.46	1,307.46	1,307.46
Fair Value	$157.90	$165.46	$173.31
Upside / Downside	535.14%	565.55%	597.13%

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Anhui Zhongding Sealing Parts Co., Ltd. (000887.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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