DDM Analysis: 000807.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$242.78 - $286.03	$268.06
Multi-Stage	$111.87 - $122.75	$117.20
Blended Fair Value	$192.63
Current Price	$20.60
Upside	835.10%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	15.50%	6.05%	0.49	0.20	0.17	0.13	0.17	0.24	0.26	0.20	0.20	0.24
YoY Growth	-	-	143.69%	15.24%	29.41%	-23.53%	-26.05%	-7.43%	27.48%	-1.04%	-16.88%	-9.83%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.80%	1.41%	1.27%	0.98%	1.81%	6.11%	4.75%	2.61%	2.77%	3.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	4,989.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	682.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)	4,307.49

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	997.98	623.74	374.24
Cash Retained (M)	4,307.49	4,307.49	4,307.49
(-) Cash Required (M)	-997.98	-623.74	-374.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)	3,309.50	3,683.75	3,933.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,469.41	3,469.41	3,469.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.95	1.06	1.13
LTM Dividend per Share	0.20	0.20	0.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.95	1.06	1.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.15	1.26	1.33
WACC / Discount Rate	4.35%	4.35%	4.35%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$242.78	$268.06	$286.03
Upside / Downside	1,078.54%	1,201.24%	1,288.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	4,989.91	5,314.26	5,659.68	6,027.56	6,419.36	6,836.61	7,041.71
Payout Ratio	13.68%	28.94%	44.21%	59.47%	74.74%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	682.43	1,537.99	2,501.90	3,584.62	4,797.52	6,152.95	6,513.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.35%	4.35%	4.35%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,460.07	1,473.91	1,487.75
Year 2 PV (M)	2,254.81	2,297.76	2,341.11
Year 3 PV (M)	3,066.93	3,154.97	3,244.68
Year 4 PV (M)	3,896.70	4,046.56	4,200.70
Year 5 PV (M)	4,744.43	4,973.59	5,211.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)	372,682.76	390,683.47	409,373.12
Equity Value (M)	388,105.71	406,630.27	425,858.88
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,469.41	3,469.41	3,469.41
Fair Value	$111.87	$117.20	$122.75
Upside / Downside	443.03%	468.95%	495.86%

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Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. (000807.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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