DDM Analysis: 000779.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$19.67 - $82.63	$49.60
Multi-Stage	$40.18 - $44.41	$42.25
Blended Fair Value	$45.92
Current Price	$9.05
Upside	407.46%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	35.06%	0.00%	0.08	0.00	0.13	0.16	0.00	0.02	0.07	0.10	0.07	0.05
YoY Growth	-	-	1,651.16%	-96.20%	-23.29%	18,484.55%	-95.26%	-74.53%	-24.52%	34.23%	49.95%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.87%	0.05%	0.97%	1.49%	0.01%	0.17%	0.57%	0.72%	0.44%	0.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	207.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	39.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)	168.20

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	41.52	25.95	15.57
Cash Retained (M)	168.20	168.20	168.20
(-) Cash Required (M)	-41.52	-25.95	-15.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)	126.68	142.25	152.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	464.84	464.84	464.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	0.31	0.33
LTM Dividend per Share	0.08	0.08	0.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.27	0.31	0.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.36	0.39	0.41
WACC / Discount Rate	-0.22%	-0.22%	-0.22%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$19.67	$49.60	$82.63
Upside / Downside	117.36%	448.01%	813.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	207.62	205.54	203.48	201.45	199.43	197.44	203.36
Payout Ratio	18.98%	33.19%	47.39%	61.59%	75.80%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	39.41	68.21	96.43	124.08	151.16	177.70	188.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	-0.22%	-0.22%	-0.22%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	67.67	68.36	69.05
Year 2 PV (M)	94.91	96.86	98.82
Year 3 PV (M)	121.16	124.90	128.73
Year 4 PV (M)	146.43	152.50	158.76
Year 5 PV (M)	170.77	179.66	188.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)	18,077.91	19,019.26	19,999.44
Equity Value (M)	18,678.85	19,641.55	20,643.72
Shares Outstanding (M)	464.84	464.84	464.84
Fair Value	$40.18	$42.25	$44.41
Upside / Downside	344.01%	366.90%	390.72%

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Gansu Engineering Consulting Group Co., Ltd. (000779.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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