DDM Analysis: 000716.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.58 - $0.92	$0.73
Multi-Stage	$1.19 - $1.30	$1.24
Blended Fair Value	$0.99
Current Price	$6.10
Upside	-83.78%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-0.99%	4.17%	0.13	0.10	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.13	0.18	0.09	0.12	0.09
YoY Growth	-	-	29.42%	-16.82%	-6.88%	543.41%	-85.25%	-24.71%	109.31%	-26.35%	33.95%	1.77%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.04%	1.93%	1.39%	3.77%	0.63%	3.11%	3.43%	1.62%	1.44%	1.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	42.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	40.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2.57

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	8.56	5.35	3.21
Cash Retained (M)	2.57	2.57	2.57
(-) Cash Required (M)	-8.56	-5.35	-3.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-5.99	-2.78	-0.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	748.85	748.85	748.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.00	0.00
LTM Dividend per Share	0.05	0.05	0.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.00	0.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.05	0.05	0.05
WACC / Discount Rate	6.81%	6.81%	6.81%
Growth Rate	-1.00%	0.00%	1.00%
Fair Value	$0.58	$0.73	$0.92
Upside / Downside	-90.49%	-87.95%	-84.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	42.80	42.81	42.81	42.81	42.81	42.81	44.10
Payout Ratio	93.99%	93.19%	92.39%	91.59%	90.80%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	40.23	39.89	39.55	39.21	38.87	38.53	40.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.81%	6.81%	6.81%
Growth Rate	-1.00%	0.00%	1.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	36.97	37.35	37.72
Year 2 PV (M)	33.98	34.67	35.36
Year 3 PV (M)	31.22	32.18	33.15
Year 4 PV (M)	28.69	29.87	31.08
Year 5 PV (M)	26.36	27.72	29.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)	732.06	769.78	809.05
Equity Value (M)	889.28	931.56	975.50
Shares Outstanding (M)	748.85	748.85	748.85
Fair Value	$1.19	$1.24	$1.30
Upside / Downside	-80.53%	-79.61%	-78.64%

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Nanfang Black Sesame Group Co., Ltd. (000716.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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