DDM Analysis: 000715.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$35.04 - $41.39	$38.74
Multi-Stage	$209.75 - $233.51	$221.37
Blended Fair Value	$130.06
Current Price	$5.56
Upside	2,239.13%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-0.97%	0.85%	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.04	0.07	0.05	0.05	0.04	0.04	0.04
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	-37.50%	49.00%	0.00%	14.29%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.84%	0.00%	0.71%	1.08%	1.99%	1.00%	0.98%	0.92%	0.56%	0.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	113.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	41.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)	71.98

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	22.71	14.19	8.52
Cash Retained (M)	71.98	71.98	71.98
(-) Cash Required (M)	-22.71	-14.19	-8.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)	49.27	57.79	63.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	476.23	476.23	476.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.12	0.13
LTM Dividend per Share	0.09	0.09	0.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.12	0.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.19	0.21	0.22
WACC / Discount Rate	-40.89%	-40.89%	-40.89%
Growth Rate	-8.16%	-7.16%	-6.16%
Fair Value	$35.04	$38.74	$41.39
Upside / Downside	530.15%	596.74%	644.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	113.55	105.42	97.87	90.86	84.35	78.31	80.66
Payout Ratio	36.61%	47.29%	57.97%	68.64%	79.32%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	41.57	49.85	56.73	62.37	66.91	70.48	74.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	-40.89%	-40.89%	-40.89%
Growth Rate	-8.16%	-7.16%	-6.16%
Year 1 PV (M)	83.42	84.33	85.24
Year 2 PV (M)	158.86	162.34	165.86
Year 3 PV (M)	292.26	301.92	311.78
Year 4 PV (M)	524.68	547.91	571.90
Year 5 PV (M)	924.84	976.30	1,030.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)	97,904.19	103,351.88	109,039.42
Equity Value (M)	99,888.25	105,424.67	111,204.21
Shares Outstanding (M)	476.23	476.23	476.23
Fair Value	$209.75	$221.37	$233.51
Upside / Downside	3,672.44%	3,881.53%	4,099.80%

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Zhongxing Shenyang Commercial Building Group Co.,Ltd (000715.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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