DDM Analysis: 000597.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$7.46 - $28.54	$12.60
Multi-Stage	$7.01 - $7.68	$7.34
Blended Fair Value	$9.97
Current Price	$5.33
Upside	87.04%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	8.74%	0.32%	0.14	0.15	0.08	0.11	0.09	0.09	0.12	0.11	0.11	0.13
YoY Growth	-	-	-6.21%	100.79%	-33.87%	32.46%	-7.84%	-18.59%	4.57%	1.82%	-15.09%	-7.72%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.83%	3.15%	1.28%	1.80%	1.89%	1.88%	1.91%	2.42%	1.85%	2.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	374.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	202.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)	171.71

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	74.92	46.82	28.09
Cash Retained (M)	171.71	171.71	171.71
(-) Cash Required (M)	-74.92	-46.82	-28.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)	96.79	124.88	143.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,440.48	1,440.48	1,440.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.09	0.10
LTM Dividend per Share	0.14	0.14	0.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.09	0.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.21	0.23	0.24
WACC / Discount Rate	6.53%	6.53%	6.53%
Growth Rate	3.64%	4.64%	5.64%
Fair Value	$7.46	$12.60	$28.54
Upside / Downside	39.96%	136.33%	435.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	374.58	391.97	410.17	429.21	449.14	469.99	484.09
Payout Ratio	54.16%	61.33%	68.50%	75.66%	82.83%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	202.88	240.39	280.95	324.76	372.03	422.99	447.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.53%	6.53%	6.53%
Growth Rate	3.64%	4.64%	5.64%
Year 1 PV (M)	223.49	225.65	227.81
Year 2 PV (M)	242.84	247.55	252.31
Year 3 PV (M)	260.98	268.61	276.38
Year 4 PV (M)	277.95	288.83	300.03
Year 5 PV (M)	293.81	308.26	323.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)	8,804.12	9,237.13	9,687.02
Equity Value (M)	10,103.20	10,576.03	11,066.82
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,440.48	1,440.48	1,440.48
Fair Value	$7.01	$7.34	$7.68
Upside / Downside	31.59%	37.75%	44.14%

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Northeast Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. (000597.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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