DDM Analysis: 000554.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4.45 - $7.88	$5.90
Multi-Stage	$7.78 - $8.55	$8.16
Blended Fair Value	$7.03
Current Price	$6.65
Upside	5.69%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	36.78%	0.05	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02
YoY Growth	-	-	69.96%	177.14%	-44.68%	289.79%	0.00%	-100.00%	255.27%	-29.78%	-75.63%	598.53%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.88%	0.58%	0.21%	0.40%	0.12%	0.00%	0.15%	0.04%	0.04%	0.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	159.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	61.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)	97.37

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	31.84	19.90	11.94
Cash Retained (M)	97.37	97.37	97.37
(-) Cash Required (M)	-31.84	-19.90	-11.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)	65.53	77.47	85.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	480.77	480.77	480.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.14	0.16	0.18
LTM Dividend per Share	0.13	0.13	0.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.14	0.16	0.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.26	0.29	0.31
WACC / Discount Rate	6.46%	6.46%	6.46%
Growth Rate	0.48%	1.48%	2.48%
Fair Value	$4.45	$5.90	$7.88
Upside / Downside	-33.09%	-11.26%	18.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	159.21	161.56	163.95	166.38	168.84	171.34	176.48
Payout Ratio	38.84%	49.07%	59.30%	69.54%	79.77%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	61.84	79.28	97.23	115.69	134.68	154.21	163.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.46%	6.46%	6.46%
Growth Rate	0.48%	1.48%	2.48%
Year 1 PV (M)	73.74	74.47	75.20
Year 2 PV (M)	84.10	85.79	87.48
Year 3 PV (M)	93.07	95.88	98.74
Year 4 PV (M)	100.77	104.84	109.03
Year 5 PV (M)	107.30	112.75	118.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,280.70	3,447.24	3,620.46
Equity Value (M)	3,739.68	3,920.96	4,109.34
Shares Outstanding (M)	480.77	480.77	480.77
Fair Value	$7.78	$8.16	$8.55
Upside / Downside	16.97%	22.64%	28.53%

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SINOPEC Shandong Taishan Pectroleum CO.,LTD. (000554.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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