DDM Analysis: ZYRX.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$68.36 - $94.65	$81.56
Multi-Stage	$90.88 - $99.74	$95.23
Blended Fair Value	$88.39
Current Price	$156.00
Upside	-43.34%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	4.64	7.91	7.85	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-41.39%	0.82%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.93%	5.35%	2.53%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	15,726.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,493.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)	14,232.29

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3,145.25	1,965.78	1,179.47
Cash Retained (M)	14,232.29	14,232.29	14,232.29
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3,145.25	-1,965.78	-1,179.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)	11,087.04	12,266.51	13,052.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,333.33	1,333.33	1,333.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share	8.32	9.20	9.79
LTM Dividend per Share	1.12	1.12	1.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share	8.32	9.20	9.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend	9.44	10.32	10.91
WACC / Discount Rate	11.53%	11.53%	11.53%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$68.36	$81.56	$94.65
Upside / Downside	-56.18%	-47.72%	-39.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	15,726.24	15,568.97	15,413.28	15,259.15	15,106.56	14,955.49	15,404.16
Payout Ratio	9.50%	25.60%	41.70%	57.80%	73.90%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,493.95	3,985.62	6,427.31	8,819.77	11,163.74	13,459.94	14,248.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	11.53%	11.53%	11.53%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	3,537.60	3,573.69	3,609.79
Year 2 PV (M)	5,063.54	5,167.40	5,272.32
Year 3 PV (M)	6,167.29	6,358.01	6,552.63
Year 4 PV (M)	6,928.81	7,215.98	7,511.98
Year 5 PV (M)	7,414.89	7,801.00	8,203.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)	92,058.36	96,852.06	101,843.40
Equity Value (M)	121,170.48	126,968.14	132,993.15
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,333.33	1,333.33	1,333.33
Fair Value	$90.88	$95.23	$99.74
Upside / Downside	-41.75%	-38.96%	-36.06%

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PT Zyrexindo Mandiri Buana Tbk (ZYRX.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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